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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Toscano Eviction Risk: Moderate , Temecula

Tract 06065043252 · Riverside, CA · pop 10,006 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 06065043252 sits in the Toscano area of Temecula eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 8% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,830
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$165,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Toscano
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 22 tracts In Temecula
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#442 of 518 tracts In Riverside
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Temecula and the region

Centroid at 33.4598, -117.0885 · click any tract to drill in

Why Toscano scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Temecula
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Temecula
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Temecula
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Temecula
5.8

How Toscano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Toscano risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 043252Temecula: 6.66.6Temeculaparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Toscano

Average gross rent is $3,501, 49% above the Temecula average. The voucher gap is 51.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Cost burden runs 64% here against 53.8% across Riverside County. Against the Riverside County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065043252

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065043252?

Census tract 06065043252 in the Toscano neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06065043252?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065043252?

1.8% of residents in tract 06065043252 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,006.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065043252?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 51th, minority 69th, housing 3th.
Q5

Is tract 06065043252 considered part of Toscano?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065043252 fall within Toscano (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06065043252 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06065043252 compare to Temecula overall?

Tract 06065043252 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Temecula at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Temecula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Temecula

Top eight tracts in Temecula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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