1 census tracts · pop 10,006 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Toscano is a one-tract neighborhood of Temecula, CA and houses 10,006 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 64% against 32.8% citywide, putting Toscano 31.3% over its own city.
At $3,501 a month, rents sit 49% over what the rest of Temecula commands. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 51.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #10 of 19 neighborhoods in Temecula.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Atria and Vail Ranch.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $165,813.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Toscano vs TemeculaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Toscano
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.4%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
5.3%No health insurance
24.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Toscano
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Toscano?
Toscano scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Toscano compare to Temecula overall?
Toscano scores 1.4 points lower than Temecula overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,347.
Q3
What is the average rent in Toscano?
Average gross rent in Toscano is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Toscano residents are renters?
21% of Toscano households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Temecula). The neighborhood has 10,006 residents.
Q5
Is Toscano a high social-vulnerability area?
Toscano sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Toscano for landlords?
Toscano carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Temecula as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Toscano?
Toscano has 9,926 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.5%), Hispanic / Latino (22.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
