Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Sacramento

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Sacramento County average of 50.2%.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Against the Sacramento County average of 7.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,429, 20% below the Sacramento average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.