Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Folsom Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06067008404 · Sacramento, CA · pop 4,427 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.6/10, tract 06067008404 in the Old Town Folsom area of Folsom, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,427. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 22% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,702

Renter share50.9%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate19.4%

Median income$75,789

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Folsom and the region

Centroid at 38.6760, -121.1757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town Folsom scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Folsom

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

19.4% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,491 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Folsom

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Folsom

6.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Folsom

4.5

How Old Town Folsom compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
28%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town Folsom. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.2%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
16.7%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
33.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town Folsom

At $1,491 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Folsom commands. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Sacramento County average of 50.2%. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Sacramento County average of 7.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $75,789. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067008404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067008404?

Census tract 06067008404 in the Old Town Folsom neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06067008404?

Median gross rent is $1,491/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067008404?

19.4% of residents in tract 06067008404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,427.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067008404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 28th, minority 52th, housing 81th.

Is tract 06067008404 considered part of Old Town Folsom?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067008404 fall within Old Town Folsom (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06067008404 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06067008404 compare to Folsom overall?

Tract 06067008404 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Folsom at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Folsom; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Folsom

Top eight tracts in Folsom ranked by composite eviction-risk score.