Empire Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Folsom

The voucher gap is 34.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Sacramento County average of 7.1.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.5/10. At $2,971 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Folsom commands.

SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.