Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Japantown Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075015201 · San Francisco, CA · pop 1,612 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 06075015201 covers part of the Japantown area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,612 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 62% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units973

Renter share89.0%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$113,450

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7883, -122.4270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Japantown scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$2,310 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Japantown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Japantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Japantown

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075015201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075015201?

Census tract 06075015201 in the Japantown neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075015201?

Median gross rent is $2,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075015201?

11.2% of residents in tract 06075015201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,612.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075015201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 55th, minority 53th, housing 75th.

Is tract 06075015201 considered part of Japantown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075015201 fall within Japantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075015201 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075015201 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075015201 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075015201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.