Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Japantown Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Francisco

Tract 06075013500 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,471 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 06075013500 covers Japantown in San Francisco, home to 2,471 residents. For landlords it grades 6.6/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 30% of renter households, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,996 monthly, set against $182,241 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 51% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,614

Renter share72.4%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate4.0%

Median income$182,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7909, -122.4326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Japantown scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,996 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Japantown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
69%Grade C
26%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Japantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
3.3%No health insurance
13.5%Frequent mental distress
18.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Japantown

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Francisco County average of 7.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 26% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075013500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075013500?

Census tract 06075013500 in the Japantown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075013500?

Median gross rent is $2,996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075013500?

4.0% of residents in tract 06075013500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,471.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075013500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 4th, minority 47th, housing 82th.

Is tract 06075013500 considered part of Japantown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075013500 fall within Japantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075013500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075013500 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075013500 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075013500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.