Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Potrero Terrace Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075022903 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,850 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06075022903 covers part of the Potrero Terrace area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,850 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 40% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,058

Renter share56.0%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate5.0%

Median income$201,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7518, -122.4062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Potrero Terrace scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.0% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$3,403 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Potrero Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
49%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Potrero Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.6%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
22.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Potrero Terrace

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

Average gross rent is $3,403, 37% above the San Francisco average. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $201,250.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075022903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075022903?

Census tract 06075022903 in the Potrero Terrace neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075022903?

Median gross rent is $3,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075022903?

5.0% of residents in tract 06075022903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,850.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075022903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 3th, minority 69th, housing 33th.

Is tract 06075022903 considered part of Potrero Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075022903 fall within Potrero Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075022903 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075022903 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075022903 scores 9/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075022903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.