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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Union Square Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075017602 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,199 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 06075017602 sits in the Union Square area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 3,199 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 64% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,534
Renter share91.1%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$83,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Union Square
Very Low
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7821, -122.4070 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Square scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,615 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Union Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0176029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Union Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Square

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

At $1,615 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Francisco County average of 37.3%. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $83,468.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075017602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075017602?

Census tract 06075017602 in the Union Square neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075017602?

Median gross rent is $1,615/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075017602?

20.8% of residents in tract 06075017602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,199.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075017602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 24th, minority 79th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 06075017602 considered part of Union Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075017602 fall within Union Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075017602 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075017602 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075017602 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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