Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Visitacion Valley Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026403 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,581 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06075026403 in the Visitacion Valley area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,581. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 12% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,109

Renter share30.2%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate12.3%

Median income$73,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7112, -122.4069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Visitacion Valley scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.3% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,575 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Visitacion Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Visitacion Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.7%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Visitacion Valley

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Francisco County average of 37.3%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

At $1,575 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,750. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026403?

Census tract 06075026403 in the Visitacion Valley neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026403?

Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026403?

12.3% of residents in tract 06075026403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,581.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 59th, minority 95th, housing 83th.

Is tract 06075026403 considered part of Visitacion Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026403 fall within Visitacion Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026403 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026403 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026403 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.