Stockton Eviction Risk: Elevated

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,203 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Stockton commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Stockton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $91,806, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. It tracks the San Joaquin County average of 6.8 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.