Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Garden Acres Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06077002702 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,762
Tract 06077002702 sits in Garden Acres, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Population here is 3,762. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units954
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$63,269
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garden Acres and the region
Centroid at 37.9619, -121.2193 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garden Acres scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garden Acres
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garden Acres
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garden Acres
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garden Acres
6.3
How Garden Acres compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.1%Food insecurity
- 31.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 27.3%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 42.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garden Acres
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 36.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 28.2% against 14.2% nationally.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.9/10. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3.1/10.
Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,414, close to the Garden Acres average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $63,269.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077002702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077002702?
Census tract 06077002702 in Garden Acres scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077002702?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077002702?
11.8% of residents in tract 06077002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,762.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077002702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 15th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077002702 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077002702 compare to Garden Acres overall?
Tract 06077002702 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Garden Acres at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden Acres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garden Acres
Top eight tracts in Garden Acres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related