Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077005132 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,075

Tract 06077005132 sits in Manteca, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 15% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units990

Renter share44.8%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate12.0%

Median income$48,952

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7934, -121.2287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manteca

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.0% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,090 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manteca

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manteca

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manteca

6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.7%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
30.7%Food insecurity
30.3%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
17.9%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

Average gross rent is $1,090, 47% below the Manteca average. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. SNAP participation runs 30.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 30.7% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 3/10. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $48,952.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005132

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005132?

Census tract 06077005132 in Manteca scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005132?

Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005132?

12.0% of residents in tract 06077005132 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,075.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005132?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 98th, minority 83th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 06077005132 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005132 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005132 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.