Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06077005124 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,340
With a score of 7.5/10, tract 06077005124 in Manteca, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,340 residents. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,212
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$67,101
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manteca and the region
Centroid at 37.8054, -121.2311 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manteca scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,947 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5
How Manteca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manteca
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $67,101 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. It sits 0.7 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Manteca rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,947, close to the Manteca average.
57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077005124
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005124?
Census tract 06077005124 in Manteca scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077005124?
Median gross rent is $1,947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005124?
15.9% of residents in tract 06077005124 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005124?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 95th, minority 69th, housing 96th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077005124 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077005124 compare to Manteca overall?
Tract 06077005124 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manteca
Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06077005133
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005108
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005109
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005132
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005125
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005138
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005140
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005136
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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