Census Tract · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077003115 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,348

06077003115 is a census tract in Stockton, CA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,348. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 39% Owners 16%

Tract context

Occupied units1,569

Renter share83.6%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$64,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9823, -121.3320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,712 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.7%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
22.8%SNAP enrollment
12.9%Transit barriers
11.7%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
33.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.

It sits 0.9 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 22.8% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,712 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Stockton commands. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $64,730.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003115

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003115?

Census tract 06077003115 in Stockton scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077003115?

Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003115?

11.4% of residents in tract 06077003115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,348.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 54th, minority 75th, housing 65th.

What share of households in tract 06077003115 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077003115 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003115 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.