Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077003115 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,348

Eviction risk in Stockton eviction risk centers on tract 06077003115, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,348 residents. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,712 monthly, set against $64,730 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 39% Owners 16%

Tract context

Occupied units1,569

Renter share83.6%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$64,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9823, -121.3320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,712 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.7%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.1%Food insecurity
22.8%SNAP enrollment
12.9%Transit barriers
11.7%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
33.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stockton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003115

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003115?

Census tract 06077003115 in Stockton scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077003115?

Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003115?

11.4% of residents in tract 06077003115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,348.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 54th, minority 75th, housing 65th.

What share of households in tract 06077003115 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077003115 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003115 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Stockton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.