Stockton Eviction Risk: High

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 33.4% against 14.2% nationally.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,048 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Stockton commands.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $35,333 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.7/10. Against San Joaquin County at 47.9%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Stockton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.