Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077003215 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,206

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06077003215 (Stockton in San Joaquin County, California) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,703 a month while the average household earns $82,705 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 33% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,762

Renter share69.8%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate10.3%

Median income$82,705

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 38.0293, -121.3852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.3% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,703 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.1%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
17.8%SNAP enrollment
10.7%Transit barriers
10.3%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stockton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003215

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003215?

Census tract 06077003215 in Stockton scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077003215?

Median gross rent is $1,703/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003215?

10.3% of residents in tract 06077003215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,206.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003215?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 78th.

What share of households in tract 06077003215 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077003215 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003215 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Stockton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.