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Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077003116 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,058

Census tract 06077003116 covers part of Stockton, CA, and scores 8.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 37% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units822
Renter share98.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate44.5%
Median income$38,485

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 77 tracts In Stockton
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#2,547 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,413 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9856, -121.3159 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stockton
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
44.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stockton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stockton
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stockton
7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stockton risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0031167.1Stocktonparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,485 and the ratio lands at 51%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 62% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

SNAP participation runs 35.4% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.7 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8.

Disability prevalence runs 43.8% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Nationally it ranks #5,413 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003116

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003116?

Census tract 06077003116 in Stockton scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077003116?

Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003116?

44.5% of residents in tract 06077003116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,058.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003116?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 99th, minority 87th, housing 93th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077003116 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077003116 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077003116 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Stockton at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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