Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Manteca Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06077005126 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 5,242 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Manteca
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 06077005126 in Manteca in San Joaquin County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,242 residents. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,530 a month against an average household income of $73,666 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,387
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$73,666
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manteca and the region
Centroid at 37.8194, -121.2217 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manteca scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,530 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5
How Manteca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manteca
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manteca, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077005126
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005126?
Census tract 06077005126 in Manteca scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077005126?
Median gross rent is $1,530/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005126?
5.8% of residents in tract 06077005126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,242.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005126?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 90th, minority 77th, housing 80th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077005126 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077005126 compare to Manteca overall?
Tract 06077005126 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Manteca at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manteca
Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06077005109
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005108
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005133
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005124
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005132
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005125
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005138
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
06077005140
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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