Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Bayshore Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City
Tract 06081600100 · San Mateo, CA · pop 5,175 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 06081600100 covers part of the Bayshore area of Brisbane, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$152,802
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Daly City and the region
Centroid at 37.6877, -122.4084 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayshore scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,656 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
2.9
How Bayshore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayshore
Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 44.9% across San Mateo County. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,656, close to the Brisbane average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $152,802. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081600100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600100?
Census tract 06081600100 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081600100?
Median gross rent is $2,656/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600100?
7.1% of residents in tract 06081600100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,175.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 60th, minority 74th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 06081600100 considered part of Bayshore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600100 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081600100 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081600100 compare to Daly City overall?
Tract 06081600100 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 06081600100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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