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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: Lower , Daly City

Tract 06081600100 · San Mateo, CA · pop 5,175 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06081600100 covers the Bayshore area of Daly City, home to 5,175 residents. For landlords it grades 4.4/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 21% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,656 a month while the average household earns $152,802 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 26% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$152,802

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bayshore
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Daly City
Moderate
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#117 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,057 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.6877, -122.4084 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,656 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
2.9

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 600100Daly City: 8.08.0Daly Cityparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Daly City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600100?

Census tract 06081600100 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081600100?

Median gross rent is $2,656/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600100?

7.1% of residents in tract 06081600100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,175.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 60th, minority 74th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 06081600100 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600100 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081600100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081600100 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600100 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Daly City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06081600100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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