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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City

Tract 06081600300 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,088 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06081600300 is a census tract in the Bayshore area of Daly City, CA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,088. 21% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the San Mateo County average of 44.9%.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 22% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,396
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$128,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Bayshore
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 21 tracts In Daly City
Elevated
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#5,249 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.7021, -122.4318 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
5.2

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 6003006.6Daly Cityparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

Average gross rent is $3,501, 37% above the Daly City average. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $128,500, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.9/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600300?

Census tract 06081600300 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081600300?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600300?

10.9% of residents in tract 06081600300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,088.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 15th, minority 85th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 06081600300 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600300 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081600300 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081600300 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600300 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06081600300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Daly City

Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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