Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Daly City

Tract 06081600300 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,088 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 06081600300 in Bayshore in Daly City ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,088 residents. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 21% of renter households, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $128,500 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 22% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,396

Renter share27.4%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$128,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.7021, -122.4318 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Daly City

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Daly City

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Daly City

4.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Daly City

5.2

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

23%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.2%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
9.6%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Daly City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600300?

Census tract 06081600300 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081600300?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600300?

10.9% of residents in tract 06081600300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,088.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 15th, minority 85th, housing 36th.

Is tract 06081600300 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600300 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081600300 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081600300 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600300 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Daly City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06081600300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Daly City

Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.