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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City

Tract 06081600200 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,246 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 06081600200 covers part of the Bayshore area of Daly City, CA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,246 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 17% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,094
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$122,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Bayshore
Very Low
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 21 tracts In Daly City
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.7045, -122.4158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,548 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
5.2

How Bayshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 6002006.6Daly Cityparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bayshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore

At $1,548 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of Daly City commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $122,917, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600200?

Census tract 06081600200 in the Bayshore neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081600200?

Median gross rent is $1,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600200?

4.6% of residents in tract 06081600200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 69th, minority 97th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 06081600200 considered part of Bayshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600200 fall within Bayshore (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081600200 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081600200 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600200 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06081600200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Daly City

Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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