Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Mission Eviction Risk: Moderate , Daly City

Tract 06081600401 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,278 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Outer Mission in Daly City is where census tract 06081600401 sits, home to 3,278 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #56,365 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,957 monthly, set against $158,949 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 17% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,143

Renter share27.6%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate4.1%

Median income$158,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.7055, -122.4444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Mission scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Daly City

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,957 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Daly City

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Daly City

4.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Daly City

5.2

How Outer Mission compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.5%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
22.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Mission

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Daly City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600401?

Census tract 06081600401 in the Outer Mission neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081600401?

Median gross rent is $2,957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600401?

4.1% of residents in tract 06081600401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,278.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 25th, minority 90th, housing 19th.

Is tract 06081600401 considered part of Outer Mission?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600401 fall within Outer Mission (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081600401 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081600401 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600401 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Daly City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06081600401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Daly City

Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.