Neighborhood · Daly City, CA

Outer Mission Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,278 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Outer Mission is a diverse neighborhood in Daly City with 1 census tract and a population of 3,278 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,957/month sits 16% higher than the Daly City citywide average ($2,551).

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Outer Mission vs Daly City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

37.7% +11%

Daly City: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$2,957 +16%

Daly City: $2,551

Average HH income

$158,949 +28%

Daly City: $124,515

Poverty rate

4.1% -43%

Daly City: 7.2%

Renter share

27.7% -30%

Daly City: 39.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Outer Mission and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Outer Mission scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Rent control risk

38% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

28% renter households · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

4.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts

3.9

Risk score comparison

Outer Mission vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Outer Mission

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06081600401	4.2	3,278	38%	$2,957

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 19%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Outer Mission

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.5%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
6.6%No health insurance
22.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Outer Mission

What is the eviction-risk score for Outer Mission?

Outer Mission scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Outer Mission compare to Daly City overall?

Outer Mission scores 3.8 points lower than Daly City overall (8/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,957 vs $2,551.

What is the average rent in Outer Mission?

Average gross rent in Outer Mission is $2,957/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Outer Mission residents are renters?

28% of Outer Mission households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Daly City). The neighborhood has 3,278 residents.

Is Outer Mission a high social-vulnerability area?

Outer Mission sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Outer Mission for landlords?

Outer Mission carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Daly City as a whole (8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Outer Mission?

Outer Mission has 3,391 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (51.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Outer Mission

4.6 Top of the Hill 10 tracts · pop 47,423 4.2 Bayshore 3 tracts · pop 13,509 4.4 Serramonte 5 tracts · pop 22,781 4.1 Edgemar 6 tracts · pop 32,540 3.5 Tanforan 9 tracts · pop 38,656 3.5 Pacific Manor 2 tracts · pop 10,072

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Daly City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Outer Mission.

4.2 Edgemar 6 tracts · pop 32,540 4.1 Bayshore 3 tracts · pop 13,509 4.1 Westlake 1 tracts · pop 6,277 4.5 Serramonte 5 tracts · pop 22,781 4.5 Top of the Hill 10 tracts · pop 47,423 4.5 Parkmerced 1 tracts · pop 4,035

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