Westside Eviction Risk: High , Santa Barbara

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 2.1 points above the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0. At $1,823 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Santa Barbara commands. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $70,873.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.