Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

East Morrissey Eviction Risk: High , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087100200 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 7,093 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06087100200 covers part of the East Morrissey area of Santa Cruz, CA, and scores 8.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,671

Renter share41.3%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate18.3%

Median income$109,883

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9847, -122.0104 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Morrissey scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

18.3% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$2,419 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How East Morrissey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

47%Socioeconomic
14%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Morrissey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Morrissey

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,419, close to the Santa Cruz average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087100200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087100200?

Census tract 06087100200 in the East Morrissey neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087100200?

Median gross rent is $2,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087100200?

18.3% of residents in tract 06087100200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,093.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087100200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 14th, minority 51th, housing 77th.

Is tract 06087100200 considered part of East Morrissey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087100200 fall within East Morrissey (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087100200 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087100200 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087100200 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.