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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

The Vineyards Eviction Risk: Moderate , Scotts Valley

Tract 06087120902 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 5,004 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

06087120902 is a census tract in the The Vineyards area of Scotts Valley, CA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,004. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 25% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,052
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$123,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In The Vineyards
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Scotts Valley
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,782 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scotts Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.0628, -122.0106 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Vineyards scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scotts Valley
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,344 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scotts Valley
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scotts Valley
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scotts Valley
4.8

How The Vineyards compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Vineyards risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 1209026.2Scotts Valleyparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Vineyards. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Vineyards

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 2.0 points below the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters. Average gross rent is $2,344, close to the Scotts Valley average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $123,478. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087120902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087120902?

Census tract 06087120902 in the The Vineyards neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06087120902?

Median gross rent is $2,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087120902?

3.2% of residents in tract 06087120902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,004.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087120902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 27th, minority 45th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 06087120902 considered part of The Vineyards?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087120902 fall within The Vineyards (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06087120902 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06087120902 compare to Scotts Valley overall?

Tract 06087120902 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Scotts Valley at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scotts Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scotts Valley

Top eight tracts in Scotts Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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