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Neighborhood · Scotts Valley, CA

The Vineyards Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,749 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.8–5

The Vineyards spans 2 census tracts of Scotts Valley, CA and houses 8,749 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. Against a Scotts Valley baseline of 30.0%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,341 a month, rents sit 46% under what the rest of Scotts Valley commands. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Against average income of $128,744, annual rent is only 12%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 4.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Vineyards vs Scotts Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.1% +104%
Scotts Valley: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,341 -46%
Scotts Valley: $2,491
Average HH income
$128,744 -9%
Scotts Valley: $140,887
Poverty rate
5.0% +4%
Scotts Valley: 4.8%
Renter share
29.9% +13%
Scotts Valley: 26.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Vineyards and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–5

Why The Vineyards scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

The Vineyards vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Vineyards score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9The VineyardsNeighborhood6.2Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Vineyards

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06087120901 5 3,745 79% ,
06087120902 4.8 5,004 48% $2,344
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Vineyards

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Vineyards

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Vineyards?

The Vineyards scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Vineyards compare to Scotts Valley overall?

The Vineyards scores 1.3 points lower than Scotts Valley overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,341 vs $2,491.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Vineyards?

Average gross rent in The Vineyards is $1,341/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Vineyards residents are renters?

30% of The Vineyards households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Scotts Valley). The neighborhood has 8,749 residents.
Q5

Is The Vineyards a high social-vulnerability area?

The Vineyards sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Vineyards have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Vineyards is census tract 06087120901 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is The Vineyards for landlords?

The Vineyards carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scotts Valley as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Vineyards?

The Vineyards has 8,832 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Hispanic / Latino (11.3%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Vineyards

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scotts Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Vineyards.

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