Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Mary Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Keswick

Tract 06089010601 · Shasta, CA · pop 2,489 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 06089010601 sits in the Mary Lake area of Redding, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 2,489. Against Shasta County at 44.1%, roughly one in eight of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 14% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units929

Renter share16.4%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate4.6%

Median income$113,672

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Keswick and the region

Centroid at 40.5632, -122.4130 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mary Lake scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Keswick

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.6% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,152 rent vs county FMR

8.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Keswick

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Keswick

8.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Keswick

6.5

How Mary Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mary Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.4%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
7.7%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mary Lake

At $2,152 a month, rents run 56% over what the rest of Redding commands. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.0 points below the Shasta County average of 6.1. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06089010601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06089010601?

Census tract 06089010601 in the Mary Lake neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06089010601?

Median gross rent is $2,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06089010601?

4.6% of residents in tract 06089010601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,489.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06089010601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 59th, minority 33th, housing 14th.

Is tract 06089010601 considered part of Mary Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06089010601 fall within Mary Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06089010601 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06089010601 compare to Keswick overall?

Tract 06089010601 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Keswick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keswick; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Keswick

Top eight tracts in Keswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.