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Neighborhood · Keswick, CA

Mary Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 3,741 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.1–5.9

Mary Lake is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Keswick with 2 census tracts and a population of 3,741 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 14% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 5% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,919/month sits 32% higher than the Keswick citywide average ($1,456).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mary Lake vs Keswick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
14.3% -7%
Keswick: 15.4%
Average gross rent
$1,919 +32%
Keswick: $1,456
Average HH income
$111,845 +219%
Keswick: $35,114
Poverty rate
8.0% -85%
Keswick: 55.0%
Renter share
14.5% +34%
Keswick: 10.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mary Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.9

Why Mary Lake scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
14% of income on rent · Range 5.5–6.7 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 1.0–8.7 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–6.5 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 1.2–3.7 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–8.3 across tracts
6.9
Risk score comparison

Mary Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mary Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mary Lake: 5.45.4Mary LakeNeighborhoodParent city: 7.77.7Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mary Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06089010603 5.9 1,252 15% $1,456
06089010601 5.1 2,489 14% $2,152
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mary Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mary Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mary Lake?

Mary Lake scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mary Lake compare to Keswick overall?

Mary Lake scores 2.3 points lower than Keswick overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 14% of income on rent vs 15% citywide. Average rent: $1,919 vs $1,456.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mary Lake?

Average gross rent in Mary Lake is $1,919/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mary Lake residents are renters?

15% of Mary Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Keswick). The neighborhood has 3,741 residents.
Q5

Is Mary Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Mary Lake sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mary Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mary Lake is census tract 06089010603 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.9, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Mary Lake for landlords?

Mary Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Keswick as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mary Lake?

Mary Lake has 3,587 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%), Hispanic / Latino (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mary Lake

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