2 census tracts · pop 3,741 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.1–5.1
Mary Lake is a 2-tract quarter of Keswick, CA, population 3,741. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. 14% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,919, 32% above the Keswick average of $1,456. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2/10.
The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 4.1 to 5.1. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate.
4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $111,845.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mary Lake vs KeswickHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mary Lake
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.5%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
4.3%No health insurance
29.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Mary Lake
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mary Lake?
Mary Lake scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mary Lake compare to Keswick overall?
Mary Lake scores 0.2 points higher than Keswick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 14% of income on rent vs 15% citywide. Average rent: $1,919 vs $1,456.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mary Lake?
Average gross rent in Mary Lake is $1,919/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mary Lake residents are renters?
15% of Mary Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Keswick). The neighborhood has 3,741 residents.
Q5
Is Mary Lake a high social-vulnerability area?
Mary Lake sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Mary Lake have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Mary Lake is census tract 06089010601 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Mary Lake for landlords?
Mary Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Keswick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Mary Lake?
Mary Lake has 3,587 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%), Hispanic / Latino (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
