Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Mary Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Keswick
Tract 06089010603 · Shasta, CA · pop 1,252 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 06089010603 sits in the Mary Lake area of Keswick, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 1,252 residents. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Shasta County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units360
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$108,214
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Keswick and the region
Centroid at 40.5814, -122.4542 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mary Lake scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Keswick
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keswick
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keswick
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keswick
3.8
How Mary Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mary Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mary Lake
Pulling hardest the other way is tenant-organizing strength at 1/10. Against the Shasta County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $108,214, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,456, close to the Keswick average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06089010603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06089010603?
Census tract 06089010603 in the Mary Lake neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06089010603?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06089010603?
14.7% of residents in tract 06089010603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,252.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06089010603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 41th, minority 42th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 06089010603 considered part of Mary Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06089010603 fall within Mary Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06089010603 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06089010603 compare to Keswick overall?
Tract 06089010603 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Keswick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keswick; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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