Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally
West Modesto Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099001603 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 6,157 · 73% of tract blocks fall in West Modesto
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 06099001603 in West Modesto ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,157 residents. On the national scale it ranks #15,935 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,419 monthly, set against $68,056 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,606
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$68,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Modesto and the region
Centroid at 37.6152, -121.0239 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Modesto scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Modesto
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,419 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Modesto
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Modesto
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Modesto
7.0
How West Modesto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.9%Food insecurity
- 30.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 22.1%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Modesto
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West Modesto eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099001603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099001603?
Census tract 06099001603 in West Modesto scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099001603?
Median gross rent is $1,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099001603?
19.9% of residents in tract 06099001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,157.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099001603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 87th, housing 77th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099001603 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099001603 compare to West Modesto overall?
Tract 06099001603 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of West Modesto at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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