Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
West Modesto Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06099001603 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 6,157 · 73% of tract blocks fall in West Modesto
Tract 06099001603 sits in West Modesto eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 6,157 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,606
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$68,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Modesto and the region
Centroid at 37.6152, -121.0239 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Modesto scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Modesto
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,419 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Modesto
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Modesto
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Modesto
7.0
How West Modesto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.9%Food insecurity
- 30.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 22.1%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Modesto
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Stanislaus County average of 6.5.
Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.1% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7/10. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,419, close to the West Modesto average.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $68,056. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099001603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099001603?
Census tract 06099001603 in West Modesto scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099001603?
Median gross rent is $1,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099001603?
19.9% of residents in tract 06099001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,157.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099001603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 87th, housing 77th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099001603 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099001603 compare to West Modesto overall?
Tract 06099001603 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of West Modesto at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Modesto eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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