Skip to content
Map of Stanislaus County, CA eviction risk by city, county average 6.8 out of 10
County brief·Updated July 25, 2026

Stanislaus County, California Eviction Risk: High

31 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Modesto (8.4) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
8.1
HIGH

Ranked #22 of 58 CA counties

502k residents · 31 cities · 112 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Stanislaus County eviction risk score history

Min2.5 Average4.4 Now8.1
10 5 1976 · score 2.6 1977 · score 2.6 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.6 1982 · score 2.8 1983 · score 2.7 1984 · score 2.7 1985 · score 2.6 1986 · score 2.5 1987 · score 2.5 1988 · score 2.5 1989 · score 2.5 1990 · score 2.6 1991 · score 2.8 1992 · score 3.4 1993 · score 3.4 1994 · score 3.5 1995 · score 3.3 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.7 2001 · score 3.8 2002 · score 4.0 2003 · score 4.0 2004 · score 4.0 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 3.9 2007 · score 3.9 2008 · score 4.9 2009 · score 5.2 2010 · score 5.2 2011 · score 5.4 2012 · score 5.4 2013 · score 5.4 2014 · score 5.4 2015 · score 5.4 2016 · score 5.6 2017 · score 5.8 2018 · score 5.9 2019 · score 6.7 2020 · score 9.0 2021 · score 8.6 2022 · score 8.3 2023 · score 8.0 2024 · score 8.3 2025 · score 8.1 2026 · score 8.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Stanislaus County averages 8.1/10 across 31 cities, spanning a range of 7 to 8.4, with Parklawn the highest-risk city at 7.4. Stanislaus County ranks 13 of 58 California counties by eviction risk.

How Stanislaus County ranks in California

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Elevated
#22 of 58 CA counties 8.1 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 58 counties in California for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Very High
#1 of 51 states (statewide) 110.7 index
Cost of living, 100th percentileLowHigh
California ranks #1 of 51 states on overall cost of living (10.7% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Very High
#2 of 51 states (statewide) 154.3 index
Housing services cost, 98th percentileLowHigh
California ranks #2 of 51 states on housing services (54.3% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Elevated
#26 of 58 CA counties 34.0% of income
Income spent on rent, 56th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 58 counties in California on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for California

State-specific playbooks
California Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
California Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
California Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
California Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
California Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Stanislaus County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Modesto Pop 219,215 · 34.0% income · $1,690 rent · IND 219,215 8.1 34.0% $1,690 IND
002 Turlock Pop 72,502 · 31.3% income · $1,612 rent · IND 72,502 8.0 31.3% $1,612 IND
003 Ceres Pop 49,342 · 33.4% income · $1,639 rent · IND 49,342 8.2 33.4% $1,639 IND
004 Riverbank Pop 25,166 · 32.2% income · $1,604 rent · IND 25,166 8.0 32.2% $1,604 IND
005 Patterson Pop 24,693 · 26.9% income · $1,655 rent · IND 24,693 7.7 26.9% $1,655 IND
006 Oakdale Pop 23,194 · 36.0% income · $1,559 rent · IND 23,194 8.2 36.0% $1,559 IND
007 Salida Pop 13,900 · 26.3% income · $2,081 rent · IND 13,900 8.1 26.3% $2,081 IND
008 Newman Pop 12,316 · 37.9% income · $1,420 rent · IND 12,316 8.2 37.9% $1,420 IND
009 Waterford Pop 9,204 · 26.9% income · $1,620 rent · IND 9,204 7.8 26.9% $1,620 IND
010 Hughson Pop 7,648 · 41.7% income · $1,748 rent · IND 7,648 8.0 41.7% $1,748 IND
011 West Modesto Pop 5,978 · 30.4% income · $1,432 rent · IND 5,978 8.3 30.4% $1,432 IND
012 Keyes Pop 5,577 · 46.4% income · $1,546 rent · IND 5,577 8.4 46.4% $1,546 IND
013 Denair Pop 4,914 · 30.1% income · $1,382 rent · IND 4,914 8.0 30.1% $1,382 IND
014 Bret Harte Pop 4,757 · 31.1% income · $1,384 rent · IND 4,757 8.3 31.1% $1,384 IND
015 Bystrom Pop 4,143 · 49.0% income · $1,189 rent · IND 4,143 8.4 49.0% $1,189 IND
016 Empire Pop 3,429 · 33.7% income · $1,238 rent · IND 3,429 8.3 33.7% $1,238 IND
017 East Oakdale Pop 2,269 · 51.0% income · $2,122 rent · IND 2,269 7.9 51.0% $2,122 IND
018 Diablo Grande Pop 1,948 · 30.4% income · $3,069 rent · IND 1,948 7.6 30.4% $3,069 IND
019 Del Rio Pop 1,508 · 33.1% income · $1,656 rent · IND 1,508 7.4 33.1% $1,656 IND
020 Parklawn Pop 1,478 · 41.5% income · $1,401 rent · IND 1,478 7.9 41.5% $1,401 IND
021 Rouse Pop 1,462 · 24.5% income · $1,383 rent · IND 1,462 8.1 24.5% $1,383 IND
022 Grayson Pop 1,182 · 34.9% income · $1,591 rent · IND 1,182 7.6 34.9% $1,591 IND
023 Riverdale Park Pop 1,137 · 51.0% income · $1,554 rent · IND 1,137 7.6 51.0% $1,554 IND
024 Orange Blossom Pop 1,062 · 30.5% income · $2,709 rent · IND 1,062 7.0 30.5% $2,709 IND
025 Airport Pop 903 · 51.0% income · $1,210 rent · IND 903 7.7 51.0% $1,210 IND
026 Hickman Pop 844 · 19.4% income · $1,313 rent · IND 844 8.2 19.4% $1,313 IND
027 Westley Pop 572 · 35.1% income · $749 rent · IND 572 8.1 35.1% $749 IND
028 Cowan Pop 497 · 33.1% income · $1,656 rent · IND 497 7.4 33.1% $1,656 IND
029 Crows Landing Pop 335 · 3.8% income · $1,167 rent · IND 335 7.5 3.8% $1,167 IND
030 Valley Home Pop 328 · 33.1% income · $1,656 rent · IND 328 7.5 33.1% $1,656 IND
031 Monterey Park Tract Pop 74 · 33.1% income · $1,656 rent · IND 74 8.3 33.1% $1,656 IND

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Stanislaus County carries an average eviction-risk score of 8.1/10 (High), placing it 13th riskiest among California's 58 counties. That means 12 counties across California eviction laws are riskier for landlords, but 45 are more landlord-friendly, putting Stanislaus firmly in the higher-risk third of the state. Across the county's 31 cities, the average rent burden sits at 33.3% of household income, and 38.5% of residents rent rather than own, creating a tenant-heavy market where lease disputes and payment stress are a recurring reality for operators.

The county-wide score spans from 6.2 at the low end to 7.4 at the high end, a 1.2-point spread that makes location selection matter enormously. A landlord whose portfolio is concentrated in the wrong neighborhoods faces meaningfully different exposure than one in the county's calmer corners, even though both technically operate under the same California eviction laws state laws.

The cities inside Stanislaus County

The highest-risk jurisdiction in the county is Keyes, scoring 8.4/10, the only city in Stanislaus reaching that threshold. Just behind it, Ceres (population 49,342) and Waterford both score 7.8/10, followed by Bret Harte, Airport, and Crows Landing each at 7.5/10. Ceres in particular represents a real concentration of risk: it is a mid-sized city with a meaningful renter base, and its score is more than half a point above the county average.

Modesto, the county seat with a population of 219,215, scores 6.9/10, above the county average despite being the dominant rental market. Turlock (population 72,502) scores a comparatively moderate 6.4/10, and Patterson comes in at 7.7/10, making those cities somewhat more manageable by local standards. Risk is genuinely hyper-local here: two properties separated by a few miles can sit in very different risk tiers. Given the complexity of operating across jurisdictions with this kind of variance, this is precisely the environment where the discipline and systems of a professional property manager pay for themselves.

State-level laws that apply here

Every Stanislaus County landlord operates under California eviction laws state law, which sets the floor for all eviction procedures. Non-payment of rent, curable lease violations, and incurable violations (nuisance, illegal use, substantial damage) each require a 3-day notice before an unlawful detainer can be filed. No-cause terminations require 30 days for tenancies under one year and 60 days for tenancies of one year or more. Once in court, even an uncontested case takes 35 to 60 days; contested cases routinely run 75 to 180 days. Understanding the full California eviction laws eviction process from notice to lockout is essential before acquiring any rental property here.

Filing fees run $240 to $435, sheriff lockout fees add $75 to $145, and attorney fees range from $1,500 to $4,500 if counsel is needed. California eviction costs therefore vary widely depending on whether a case is contested and whether counsel is retained. On top of procedure, AB 1482 imposes statewide just-cause eviction requirements and a rent cap formula of 5% plus CPI, up to 10%, enforceable under Cal. Civ. Code § 1947.12. The Costa-Hawkins Act limits but does not preempt local rent control on pre-1995 multi-unit buildings, so landlords should verify whether any specific city within Stanislaus County has adopted a local ordinance.

With a poverty rate of 13.3% and renters making up 38.5% of the population, the economic pressure on Stanislaus tenants is real, and it shows up unevenly across the 31 cities in the grid above; review individual city scores before committing to a specific market.

Historical eviction filings in Stanislaus County

From 2010 to 2017, eviction filings in Stanislaus County declined 49%. The peak was 3,395 filings in 2010.1

Annual filings 2010–2017 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Stanislaus County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2010: 3,395 filings2011: 3,268 filings2012: 2,729 filings2013: 2,511 filings2014: 2,422 filings2015: 2,210 filings2016: 2,062 filings2017: 1,743 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Stanislaus County compares

Within California, Stanislaus County's 8.1/10 eviction-risk score ranks 13 of 58 counties, placing it in the higher-risk band of the state. It sits just below several Central Valley peers: San Joaquin County at 6.9, Kern County at 6.9, and Tulare County at 6.9, and above Fresno County at 6.8 and Solano County at 6.7.

For landlords, that clustering means operating conditions across the region are broadly similar, with the same California eviction laws rent-cap and just-cause framework applying countywide. The differentiation comes at the city level, where Stanislaus scores spread from 7 to 8.4.

Peer counties in California

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Solano County eviction risk
8.1
/ 10 · High
Pop. 439K
Peer county
Santa Barbara County eviction risk
8
/ 10 · High
Pop. 429K
Peer county
San Mateo County eviction risk
8
/ 10 · High
Pop. 725K
Peer county
Sonoma County eviction risk
8
/ 10 · High
Pop. 395K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Stanislaus County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Top neighborhoods by risk

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Stanislaus County

Q1

How is the Stanislaus County eviction risk score computed?

Each of the 31 cities in the county is independently scored on nine sub-factors. The county-wide 8.1/10 average reflects a population-weighted mean of those municipal scores.
Q2

Does Stanislaus County have rent control?

Rent control is determined by state law and city ordinance. California state framework applies. See the California eviction laws rent-control guide for details.
Q3

What is the political climate in Stanislaus County?

Stanislaus County voted Democratic by 0.8 points in 2020.