Stanislaus County, California Eviction Risk: High
31 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Modesto (8.4) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #22 of 58 CA counties
502k residents · 31 cities · 112 tracts
Stanislaus County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord52.3%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Stanislaus County, CA, tenants prevail in roughly 52.3% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline260dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Stanislaus County, CA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 260 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$15.7–35.8klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Stanislaus County, CA costs landlords $15,688 to $35,803 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,65233% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Stanislaus County, CA is $1,652 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 33% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters38.5%of households38.5% of occupied housing units in Stanislaus County, CA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty13.3%8.0% unemp.13.3% of Stanislaus County, CA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 8.0%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Stanislaus County averages 8.1/10 across 31 cities, spanning a range of 7 to 8.4, with Parklawn the highest-risk city at 7.4. Stanislaus County ranks 13 of 58 California counties by eviction risk.
How Stanislaus County ranks in California
Landlord guides for California
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Modesto | 219,215 | 8.1 | 34.0% | $1,690 | IND |
| 002 | Turlock | 72,502 | 8.0 | 31.3% | $1,612 | IND |
| 003 | Ceres | 49,342 | 8.2 | 33.4% | $1,639 | IND |
| 004 | Riverbank | 25,166 | 8.0 | 32.2% | $1,604 | IND |
| 005 | Patterson | 24,693 | 7.7 | 26.9% | $1,655 | IND |
| 006 | Oakdale | 23,194 | 8.2 | 36.0% | $1,559 | IND |
| 007 | Salida | 13,900 | 8.1 | 26.3% | $2,081 | IND |
| 008 | Newman | 12,316 | 8.2 | 37.9% | $1,420 | IND |
| 009 | Waterford | 9,204 | 7.8 | 26.9% | $1,620 | IND |
| 010 | Hughson | 7,648 | 8.0 | 41.7% | $1,748 | IND |
| 011 | West Modesto | 5,978 | 8.3 | 30.4% | $1,432 | IND |
| 012 | Keyes | 5,577 | 8.4 | 46.4% | $1,546 | IND |
| 013 | Denair | 4,914 | 8.0 | 30.1% | $1,382 | IND |
| 014 | Bret Harte | 4,757 | 8.3 | 31.1% | $1,384 | IND |
| 015 | Bystrom | 4,143 | 8.4 | 49.0% | $1,189 | IND |
| 016 | Empire | 3,429 | 8.3 | 33.7% | $1,238 | IND |
| 017 | East Oakdale | 2,269 | 7.9 | 51.0% | $2,122 | IND |
| 018 | Diablo Grande | 1,948 | 7.6 | 30.4% | $3,069 | IND |
| 019 | Del Rio | 1,508 | 7.4 | 33.1% | $1,656 | IND |
| 020 | Parklawn | 1,478 | 7.9 | 41.5% | $1,401 | IND |
| 021 | Rouse | 1,462 | 8.1 | 24.5% | $1,383 | IND |
| 022 | Grayson | 1,182 | 7.6 | 34.9% | $1,591 | IND |
| 023 | Riverdale Park | 1,137 | 7.6 | 51.0% | $1,554 | IND |
| 024 | Orange Blossom | 1,062 | 7.0 | 30.5% | $2,709 | IND |
| 025 | Airport | 903 | 7.7 | 51.0% | $1,210 | IND |
| 026 | Hickman | 844 | 8.2 | 19.4% | $1,313 | IND |
| 027 | Westley | 572 | 8.1 | 35.1% | $749 | IND |
| 028 | Cowan | 497 | 7.4 | 33.1% | $1,656 | IND |
| 029 | Crows Landing | 335 | 7.5 | 3.8% | $1,167 | IND |
| 030 | Valley Home | 328 | 7.5 | 33.1% | $1,656 | IND |
| 031 | Monterey Park Tract | 74 | 8.3 | 33.1% | $1,656 | IND |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Stanislaus County
Top 3 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Stanislaus County carries an average eviction-risk score of 8.1/10 (High), placing it 13th riskiest among California's 58 counties. That means 12 counties across California eviction laws are riskier for landlords, but 45 are more landlord-friendly, putting Stanislaus firmly in the higher-risk third of the state. Across the county's 31 cities, the average rent burden sits at 33.3% of household income, and 38.5% of residents rent rather than own, creating a tenant-heavy market where lease disputes and payment stress are a recurring reality for operators.
The county-wide score spans from 6.2 at the low end to 7.4 at the high end, a 1.2-point spread that makes location selection matter enormously. A landlord whose portfolio is concentrated in the wrong neighborhoods faces meaningfully different exposure than one in the county's calmer corners, even though both technically operate under the same California eviction laws state laws.
The cities inside Stanislaus County
The highest-risk jurisdiction in the county is Keyes, scoring 8.4/10, the only city in Stanislaus reaching that threshold. Just behind it, Ceres (population 49,342) and Waterford both score 7.8/10, followed by Bret Harte, Airport, and Crows Landing each at 7.5/10. Ceres in particular represents a real concentration of risk: it is a mid-sized city with a meaningful renter base, and its score is more than half a point above the county average.
Modesto, the county seat with a population of 219,215, scores 6.9/10, above the county average despite being the dominant rental market. Turlock (population 72,502) scores a comparatively moderate 6.4/10, and Patterson comes in at 7.7/10, making those cities somewhat more manageable by local standards. Risk is genuinely hyper-local here: two properties separated by a few miles can sit in very different risk tiers. Given the complexity of operating across jurisdictions with this kind of variance, this is precisely the environment where the discipline and systems of a professional property manager pay for themselves.
State-level laws that apply here
Every Stanislaus County landlord operates under California eviction laws state law, which sets the floor for all eviction procedures. Non-payment of rent, curable lease violations, and incurable violations (nuisance, illegal use, substantial damage) each require a 3-day notice before an unlawful detainer can be filed. No-cause terminations require 30 days for tenancies under one year and 60 days for tenancies of one year or more. Once in court, even an uncontested case takes 35 to 60 days; contested cases routinely run 75 to 180 days. Understanding the full California eviction laws eviction process from notice to lockout is essential before acquiring any rental property here.
Filing fees run $240 to $435, sheriff lockout fees add $75 to $145, and attorney fees range from $1,500 to $4,500 if counsel is needed. California eviction costs therefore vary widely depending on whether a case is contested and whether counsel is retained. On top of procedure, AB 1482 imposes statewide just-cause eviction requirements and a rent cap formula of 5% plus CPI, up to 10%, enforceable under Cal. Civ. Code § 1947.12. The Costa-Hawkins Act limits but does not preempt local rent control on pre-1995 multi-unit buildings, so landlords should verify whether any specific city within Stanislaus County has adopted a local ordinance.
With a poverty rate of 13.3% and renters making up 38.5% of the population, the economic pressure on Stanislaus tenants is real, and it shows up unevenly across the 31 cities in the grid above; review individual city scores before committing to a specific market.
Historical eviction filings in Stanislaus County
From 2010 to 2017, eviction filings in Stanislaus County declined 49%. The peak was 3,395 filings in 2010.1
- 3,3952010
- 3,395Peak (2010)
- 1,7432017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Stanislaus County compares
Within California, Stanislaus County's 8.1/10 eviction-risk score ranks 13 of 58 counties, placing it in the higher-risk band of the state. It sits just below several Central Valley peers: San Joaquin County at 6.9, Kern County at 6.9, and Tulare County at 6.9, and above Fresno County at 6.8 and Solano County at 6.7.
For landlords, that clustering means operating conditions across the region are broadly similar, with the same California eviction laws rent-cap and just-cause framework applying countywide. The differentiation comes at the city level, where Stanislaus scores spread from 7 to 8.4.