Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally
Bystrom Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06099002302 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 3,941 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 8.9/10, tract 06099002302 in the Bystrom area of Bystrom, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,941 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,171
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$42,212
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bystrom and the region
Centroid at 37.6194, -120.9813 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bystrom scores 8.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bystrom
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bystrom
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bystrom
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bystrom
9.2
How Bystrom compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bystrom. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.6%Housing insecurity
- 20.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.8%Food insecurity
- 48.9%SNAP enrollment
- 23.6%Transit barriers
- 28.8%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 50.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bystrom
SNAP participation runs 48.9% against 15.2% nationally. Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Against the Stanislaus County average of 6.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.2/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $42,212, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002302?
Census tract 06099002302 in the Bystrom neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002302?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002302?
30.5% of residents in tract 06099002302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,941.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 06099002302 considered part of Bystrom?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06099002302 fall within Bystrom (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06099002302 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06099002302 compare to Bystrom overall?
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