Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally
Keyes Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099003002 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,586 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Keyes
Keyes anchors census tract 06099003002, which lands at 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,386 a month while the average household earns $64,738 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,107
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$64,738
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Keyes and the region
Centroid at 37.5642, -120.9499 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keyes scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Keyes
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,386 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Keyes
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Keyes
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Keyes
9.1
How Keyes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.6%Food insecurity
- 27.5%SNAP enrollment
- 14.9%Transit barriers
- 20.5%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keyes
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Keyes, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003002?
Census tract 06099003002 in Keyes scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003002?
Median gross rent is $1,386/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003002?
21.4% of residents in tract 06099003002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 73th, minority 84th, housing 46th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099003002 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099003002 compare to Keyes overall?
Tract 06099003002 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Keyes at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Keyes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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