Shackelford Eviction Risk: High , Modesto

Average gross rent is $1,023, 39% below the Modesto average. Disability prevalence runs 50.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.4% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $36,289, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Stanislaus County average of 6.5. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.