Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Dove Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centennial
Tract 08005086002 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 4,236 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 08005086002 covers part of the Dove Hill area of Aurora, CO, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,364
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$89,844
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centennial and the region
Centroid at 39.6182, -104.7198 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dove Hill scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centennial
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$2,208 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centennial
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centennial
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centennial
5.0
How Dove Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dove Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dove Hill
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. At $2,208 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Aurora commands.
It sits 0.9 points above the Arapahoe County average of 4.7. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $89,844.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08005086002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005086002?
Census tract 08005086002 in the Dove Hill neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08005086002?
Median gross rent is $2,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08005086002?
16.2% of residents in tract 08005086002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08005086002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 8th, minority 63th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 08005086002 considered part of Dove Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005086002 fall within Dove Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 08005086002 compare to Centennial overall?
Tract 08005086002 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Centennial at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centennial eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centennial
Top eight tracts in Centennial ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
Chaddsford
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Chambers Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08005007302
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08005007400
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Peninsula
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Gateway Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Chambers Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08005087100
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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