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Centennial, Colorado eviction risk overview
Ranked #582 of 1,861 nationally

Centennial, CO Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Arapahoe County · Population 108,201

In 2026
Risk score
5.9
ELEVATED

86th percentile, Colorado.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.0 Now5.9
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.5 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.6 1983 · score 1.5 1984 · score 1.5 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 2.0 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.3 1997 · score 2.3 1998 · score 2.4 1999 · score 2.4 2000 · score 2.1 2001 · score 2.3 2002 · score 2.3 2003 · score 2.4 2004 · score 2.7 2005 · score 2.8 2006 · score 2.8 2007 · score 2.8 2008 · score 3.5 2009 · score 3.6 2010 · score 3.7 2011 · score 3.8 2012 · score 3.6 2013 · score 3.7 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 4.1 2017 · score 4.2 2018 · score 4.4 2019 · score 4.6 2020 · score 5.4 2021 · score 5.4 2022 · score 5.4 2023 · score 5.4 2024 · score 5.4 2025 · score 5.9 2026 · score 5.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.3 Regional 8.3 State 4.7 Economic 3.9 Supply 6.9 Rent Control 5.9 Eviction 4.8 Tenant 4.4 Housing 4.1 5.9 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +20.1% (2024)
    8.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.3
  3. State political climate
    Colorado legislature & governorship
    4.7
  4. Economic stress
    3.2% poverty · 3.7% unemp.
    3.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,148 average · 19.4% renters
    6.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.1% of income on rent
    5.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    93 days filing → judgment
    4.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    19.4% renters
    4.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Centennial and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Centennial compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Arapahoe County
Moderate
#9 of 18 cities
Rank in county — 53th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 18 cities in Arapahoe County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Colorado
High
#71 of 479 cities
Rank in state — 85th percentileBottomTop
#71 of 479 cities in Colorado for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Centennial risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Centennial: 5.95.9CentennialThis cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.9
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 93d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,148/mo. A contested eviction takes 93 days and costs $4,869–$12,368 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 19.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 108,201 residents, 19.4% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 3.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.3 and 8.3 (Dem margin +20.1% (2024)). State climate at 4.7 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.8, housing court bias 4.1, rent-control risk 5.9. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.9. Supply constraint: 6.9. The numbers behind those: 3.2% poverty, 3.7% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Centennial sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Denver, CO · 98d · ~$8.6k all-in ($88/day) · score 7.3 Denver Aurora, CO · 94d · ~$9.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 5.9 Aurora Lakewood, CO · 91d · ~$8.7k all-in ($96/day) · score 5.9 Lakewood Thornton, CO · 98d · ~$7.9k all-in ($80/day) · score 6.4 Thornton Arvada, CO · 109d · ~$8.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 6.2 Arvada Westminster, CO · 99d · ~$7.3k all-in ($74/day) · score 6.4 Westminster Boulder, CO · 100d · ~$8.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.6 Boulder Highlands Ranch, CO · 101d · ~$8.6k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.5 Highlands Ranch Longmont, CO · 104d · ~$8.7k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.6 Longmont Castle Rock, CO · 98d · ~$9.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 5.8 Castle Rock Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Centennial
Centennial · 93d · ~$8.6k all-in ($93/day) · score 5.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Centennial, CO

Landlording in Centennial, Colorado, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Centennial is a city of 108,201 residents where 19.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,148/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Centennial eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.8/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Centennial closes 93 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Centennial's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Centennial runs $4,869 to $12,368 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 93 days of typical timeline and $2,148/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.4/10 in Centennial, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Colorado, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Centennial: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Colorado's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $12,368 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Centennial

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 93 days and roughly $12,368 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $4,947 to $7,420 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under CRS 13-40 + HB23-1115.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Centennial?

The biggest mistake is usually improper notice or accepting partial rent payments during an eviction process. Both can invalidate your efforts and force you to restart, costing you months and thousands of dollars. Follow the 10-day pay-or-quit rule precisely.

Q2

Can I deny a tenant because they use a Section 8 voucher?

No. Colorado has statewide source-of-income protection. You cannot discriminate against an applicant solely because they plan to pay rent with a Section 8 voucher or other lawful income source. You must apply the same screening criteria to all applicants.

Q3

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Centennial?

You have 30 days from the date the tenant moves out to return the security deposit or provide an itemized statement of deductions. If you need more time, you must stipulate this in your lease, but it cannot exceed 60 days. Miss this, and you could pay triple damages.

Q4

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the eviction is granted?

Once the court grants you possession, you must get a Writ of Restitution from the court. This writ is then given to the county sheriff, who will schedule and execute the physical lockout. You cannot physically remove the tenant yourself; only the sheriff can enforce the court order.

Q5

Is rent control a concern in Centennial?

Currently, Colorado does not have statewide rent control. The rent-control-risk sub-score for Centennial is 5.9/10, indicating an elevated, but not immediate, risk. This score reflects potential legislative trends, but no active rent control laws are in effect for Centennial right now. Stay informed by checking resources like our Colorado rent control rules guide.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.9/10 places Centennial in the 86th percentile of Colorado cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.