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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Heatherwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gunbarrel

Tract 08013012709 · Boulder County, CO · pop 1,970 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 08013012709 sits in the Heatherwood area of Gunbarrel, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 1,970. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Boulder County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 13% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units838
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$124,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Heatherwood
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Gunbarrel
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gunbarrel and the region

Centroid at 40.0579, -105.1580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heatherwood scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gunbarrel
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$2,628 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gunbarrel
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gunbarrel
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gunbarrel
5.2

How Heatherwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heatherwood risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0127095.5Gunbarrelparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Heatherwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heatherwood

At $2,628 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Gunbarrel commands. The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.8/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 1.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012709

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012709?

Census tract 08013012709 in the Heatherwood neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012709?

Median gross rent is $2,628/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012709?

15.4% of residents in tract 08013012709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,970.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012709?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 4th, minority 18th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012709 considered part of Heatherwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012709 fall within Heatherwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08013012709?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08013012709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.64% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08013012709 compare to Gunbarrel overall?

Tract 08013012709 scores 5.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Gunbarrel at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gunbarrel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gunbarrel

Top eight tracts in Gunbarrel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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