Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Evans Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 08123001405 · Weld County, CO · pop 4,816 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Evans
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 08123001405 in Evans, CO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,816. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,604
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$90,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evans and the region
Centroid at 40.3815, -104.7612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evans scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Evans
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,885 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evans
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evans
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evans
7.2
How Evans compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Evans
The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,885 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Evans commands.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Weld County average of 4.2. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $90,625.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08123001405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123001405?
Census tract 08123001405 in Evans scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08123001405?
Median gross rent is $1,885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08123001405?
11.1% of residents in tract 08123001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,816.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08123001405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 41th, minority 58th, housing 39th.
Q5
How does tract 08123001405 compare to Evans overall?
Tract 08123001405 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Evans at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evans eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evans
Top eight tracts in Evans ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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