Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Lupton Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 08123001912 · Weld County, CO · pop 1,591 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Fort Lupton
Tract 08123001912 sits in Fort Lupton, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. It is home to 1,591 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units560
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$95,227
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Lupton and the region
Centroid at 40.0729, -104.7885 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Lupton scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Lupton
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,365 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Lupton
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Lupton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Lupton
7.9
How Fort Lupton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Lupton
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. It sits 2.2 points above the Weld County average of 4.2. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. At $1,365 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Fort Lupton commands. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $95,227, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08123001912
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123001912?
Census tract 08123001912 in Fort Lupton scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08123001912?
Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08123001912?
15.4% of residents in tract 08123001912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,591.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08123001912?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 39th, minority 70th, housing 14th.
Q5
How does tract 08123001912 compare to Fort Lupton overall?
Tract 08123001912 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Lupton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Lupton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Lupton
Top eight tracts in Fort Lupton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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