Vista Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie

The voucher gap is 72.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Weld County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,635, close to the Erie average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.