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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Brandywine Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington

Tract 10003000500 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,605 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 10003000500 belongs to the Brandywine Village area of Wilmington, Delaware. It is home to 3,605 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,475 a month against an average household income of $77,054 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 35% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$77,054

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Brandywine Village
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 25 tracts In Wilmington
Very Low
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#50 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7545, -75.5400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandywine Village scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,475 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0

How Brandywine Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brandywine Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000500Wilmington: 4.94.9Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,395Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 31.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 38.9%Peak (2014)
  • 169Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030005002010: 153 filings (23.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 135 filings (30.89/100 renter HHs)2012: 146 filings (33.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 153 filings (35.01/100 renter HHs)2014: 170 filings (38.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 166 filings (37.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 153 filings (26.80/100 renter HHs)2017: 150 filings (26.27/100 renter HHs)2018: 169 filings (29.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 638Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 21 filings (1.27× baseline)2020-02-01: 9 filings (0.84× baseline)2020-03-01: 8 filings (0.82× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 6 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-08-01: 7 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (0.45× baseline)2020-10-01: 7 filings (0.45× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (0.58× baseline)2020-12-01: 7 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-02-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-04-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2021-05-01: 8 filings (0.54× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-09-01: 11 filings (0.83× baseline)2021-10-01: 8 filings (0.52× baseline)2021-11-01: 11 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 11 filings (0.79× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-02-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2022-03-01: 12 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-04-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.41× baseline)2022-06-01: 9 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-08-01: 8 filings (0.51× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-10-01: 12 filings (0.77× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-03-01: 16 filings (1.64× baseline)2023-04-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2023-05-01: 17 filings (1.15× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (0.52× baseline)2023-07-01: 13 filings (0.78× baseline)2023-08-01: 16 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (0.39× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-12-01: 16 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 9 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (0.65× baseline)2024-05-01: 13 filings (0.88× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (0.51× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (0.52× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-12-01: 9 filings (0.64× baseline)2025-01-01: 11 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 13 filings (1.24× baseline)2025-03-01: 11 filings (1.13× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (0.61× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (0.37× baseline)2025-07-01: 10 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-08-01: 9 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (0.45× baseline)2025-10-01: 26 filings (1.68× baseline)2025-11-01: 11 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-12-01: 11 filings (0.79× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandywine Village

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.63x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003000500?

Census tract 10003000500 in the Brandywine Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003000500?

Median gross rent is $1,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003000500?

12.3% of residents in tract 10003000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,605.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 21th, minority 94th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 10003000500 considered part of Brandywine Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003000500 fall within Brandywine Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,395 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.40% of renter households, peaking at 38.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003000500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003000500 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003000500 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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