Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Waters Edge Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003014808 · New Castle County, DE · pop 6,446 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 10003014808 covers part of the Waters Edge area of Bear, DE, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,446. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$82,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6182, -75.7297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waters Edge scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How Waters Edge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,001Total filings over 9 yrs
- 14.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.8%Peak (2018)
- 133Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 491Total filings 2020-21
- 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waters Edge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waters Edge
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,418 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Bear commands.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,001 evictions over 9 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2018 at 16.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003014808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003014808?
Census tract 10003014808 in the Waters Edge neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003014808?
Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003014808?
4.3% of residents in tract 10003014808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,446.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003014808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 43th, minority 76th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 10003014808 considered part of Waters Edge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003014808 fall within Waters Edge (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003014808?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,001 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003014808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.67% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003014808 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003014808 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003014808 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003014808 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bear
Top eight tracts in Bear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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