Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Idylwild Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville
Tract 12001001516 · Alachua County, FL · pop 2,631 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12001001516 covers part of the Idylwild area of Gainesville, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,631. 59% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,548
Renter share79.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate47.5%
Median income$24,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 29.6166, -82.3589 · click any tract to drill in
Why Idylwild scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
47.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,348 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0
How Idylwild compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 170Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2012)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 250Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.10×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Idylwild. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Idylwild
Cost burden runs 74% here against 50.9% across Alachua County. Set annual rent against average income of $24,382 and the ratio lands at 66%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Alachua County average of 4.1.
Court records carry 170 eviction filings across 8 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.4% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12001001516
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001001516?
Census tract 12001001516 in the Idylwild neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12001001516?
Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12001001516?
47.5% of residents in tract 12001001516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,631.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12001001516?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 2th, minority 63th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 12001001516 considered part of Idylwild?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001001516 fall within Idylwild (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001001516?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001001516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.49% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12001001516 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12001001516 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 12001001516 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Idylwild
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Hume Residential Area
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Hume Residential Area
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Fraternity Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12001001902
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Beville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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