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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Idylwild Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gainesville

Tract 12001001516 · Alachua County, FL · pop 2,631 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 12001001516 covers the Idylwild area of Gainesville in Florida. Home to 2,631 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,348 a month while the average household earns $24,382 a year, roughly 66% of income at the averages. About 79% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 20% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,548
Renter share79.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate47.5%
Median income$24,382

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Idylwild
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6166, -82.3589 · click any tract to drill in

Why Idylwild scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
47.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,348 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Idylwild compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Idylwild risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 001516Gainesville: 2.92.9Gainesvilleparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 170Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 2.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2012)
  • 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120010015162002: 15 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 30 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2015: 26 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2017: 20 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2018: 18 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 250Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.10×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (1.64× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (1.64× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (4.82× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (2.41× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (2.19× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (5.97× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (5.13× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (2.41× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (3.28× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-04-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (6.84× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (5.13× baseline)2023-07-01: 10 filings (5.46× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.64× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (6.02× baseline)2023-11-01: 5 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 9 filings (4.92× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (5.97× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (5.98× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 9 filings (7.69× baseline)2024-06-01: 11 filings (9.40× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (3.28× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (3.83× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (3.28× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (4.29× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Idylwild. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Idylwild

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alachua County average of 4.9 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.10x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001001516

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001001516?

Census tract 12001001516 in the Idylwild neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001001516?

Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001001516?

47.5% of residents in tract 12001001516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001001516?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 2th, minority 63th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 12001001516 considered part of Idylwild?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001001516 fall within Idylwild (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001001516?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001001516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.49% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12001001516 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12001001516 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001001516 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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