Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Gainesville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12001001902 · Alachua County, FL · pop 3,992 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Gainesville

Tract 12001001902 sits in Gainesville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 3,992. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 14% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$35,237

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.6924, -82.2860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gainesville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Gainesville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gainesville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0019024.0Gainesvilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 594Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 12.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.6%Peak (2012)
  • 55Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12001001902
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 363Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gainesville

Against Alachua County at 50.9%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $35,237, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 46.7% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Alachua County average of 4.1. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 594 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 19.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001001902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001001902?

Census tract 12001001902 in Gainesville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001001902?

Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001001902?

36.2% of residents in tract 12001001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001001902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 78th, housing 100th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001001902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001001902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.60% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12001001902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12001001902 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001001902 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related