Idylwild Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $39,178 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Alachua County average of 4.1. The filing record is not thin: 115 evictions over 8 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,152, 11% below the Gainesville average. The worst year on record was 2013, when 5.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.