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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Melbourne Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12009064902 · Brevard, FL · pop 4,313 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12009064902 in the Downtown Melbourne area of Melbourne, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,313 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 17% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,749
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$33,691

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown Melbourne
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 24 tracts In Melbourne
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 147 tracts In Brevard
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Melbourne and the region

Centroid at 28.0700, -80.6031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Melbourne scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Melbourne
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,112 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melbourne
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melbourne
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melbourne
7.1

How Downtown Melbourne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Melbourne risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 064902Melbourne: 4.04.0Melbourneparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 528Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2014)
  • 48Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120090649022002: 65 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 59 filings (6.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 47 filings (5.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 41 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 43 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2014: 67 filings (4.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 66 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 50 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2017: 42 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2018: 48 filings (4.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Melbourne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Melbourne

Cost burden runs 72% here against 48.9% across Brevard County. Set annual rent against average income of $33,691 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,112, 27% below the Melbourne average.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.5 points above the Brevard County average of 3.9.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Court records carry 528 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12009064902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12009064902?

Census tract 12009064902 in the Downtown Melbourne neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12009064902?

Median gross rent is $1,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12009064902?

28.4% of residents in tract 12009064902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,313.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12009064902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 80th, minority 65th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 12009064902 considered part of Downtown Melbourne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12009064902 fall within Downtown Melbourne (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12009064902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 528 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12009064902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12009064902 compare to Melbourne overall?

Tract 12009064902 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Melbourne at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melbourne eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Melbourne

Top eight tracts in Melbourne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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