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Neighborhood · Melbourne, FL

Downtown Melbourne Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,643 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Downtown Melbourne is a 2-tract quarter of Melbourne, FL and houses 7,643 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Melbourne baseline of 34.5%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Set annual rent against average household income of $33,691 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10. At $1,064 a month, rents sit 30% under what the rest of Melbourne commands.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Court records carry 847 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 4.9% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.4% in 2018 against a 4.9% peak. That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in Melbourne.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Melbourne vs Melbourne How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.7% +79%
Melbourne: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,064 -30%
Melbourne: $1,525
Average HH income
$33,691 -48%
Melbourne: $64,504
Poverty rate
28.7% +92%
Melbourne: 15.0%
Renter share
62.0% +54%
Melbourne: 40.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Melbourne and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Downtown Melbourne scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
28.7% below poverty line · Range 7.1–7.3 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.8 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Downtown Melbourne vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Melbourne score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Melbourne: 5.45.4Downtown MelbourneNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Downtown Melbourne

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12009064902 5.4 4,313 72% $1,112
12009064800 5.4 3,330 49% $1,002
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Melbourne

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 847Total filings (sum)
  • 4.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2014)
  • 3.49%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Downtown Melbourne

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Melbourne?

Downtown Melbourne scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Melbourne compare to Melbourne overall?

Downtown Melbourne scores 1.4 points higher than Melbourne overall (4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,064 vs $1,525.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Melbourne?

Average gross rent in Downtown Melbourne eviction risk is $1,064/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Melbourne residents are renters?

62% of Downtown Melbourne households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Melbourne). The neighborhood has 7,643 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Melbourne a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Melbourne sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Melbourne have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Melbourne is census tract 12009064902 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Melbourne for landlords?

Downtown Melbourne eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Melbourne as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Melbourne?

Downtown Melbourne has 7,820 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.8%), Hispanic / Latino (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Melbourne

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Melbourne

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Melbourne.

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