Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Vanderbilt Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Pelican Bay
Tract 12021010209 ·
Collier, FL · pop 2,682 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12021010209 is a census tract in the Vanderbilt Beach area of Pelican Bay, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,682 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 4%Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$165,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Vanderbilt Beach
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Pelican Bay
Very High
Within county
3th percentile
#105 of 108 tracts In Collier
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pelican Bay and the region
Centroid at 26.2768, -81.8251 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vanderbilt Beach scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pelican Bay
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pelican Bay
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pelican Bay
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pelican Bay
5.7
How Vanderbilt Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vanderbilt Beach
Cost burden runs 38% here against 52.8% across Collier County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Collier County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12021010209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010209?
Census tract 12021010209 in the Vanderbilt Beach neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010209?
3.3% of residents in tract 12021010209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,682.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 15th, minority 18th, housing 34th.
Q4
Is tract 12021010209 considered part of Vanderbilt Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12021010209 fall within Vanderbilt Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How does tract 12021010209 compare to Pelican Bay overall?
Tract 12021010209 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Pelican Bay at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pelican Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pelican Bay
Top eight tracts in Pelican Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.